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SEC clears Nasdaq proposal for prediction market options tied to benchmark index

By Thomson Reuters Apr 30, 2026 | 8:56 PM

By Mrinmay Dey

April 30 (Reuters) – The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Thursday approved a proposal by Nasdaq’s options trading venue to list and trade a ​new class of stock market prediction instruments tied ‌to a major index, according to a regulatory order.

Several firms are increasingly seeking to enter the prediction markets space, which allows users to bet on the outcomes of real-world events as it gains legitimacy and ‌opens ​up new revenue streams and market ⁠insights.

The New York-based exchange operator’s ⁠products are cash-settled contracts that pay a fixed amount at expiration depending on whether the index finishes above or below a set level.

The SEC said the binary options – ​a type of contract that offers a payout based on the outcome of a yes-or-no bet – would have a “fixed, ⁠all-or-nothing exercise settlement amount” of $100 ⁠if they expire in the money.

Nasdaq MRX, an ​electronic U.S. options exchange operated by Nasdaq, will initially list the ​options linked to the Nasdaq-100 index and the ‌Nasdaq-100 Micro index.

The Nasdaq-100 tracks 100 of the largest, non-financial companies listed on Nasdaq’s exchange, including Apple, Nvidia and Intel. The micro index is based on 1/100th of the full ⁠value of the Nasdaq-100.

The commission granted accelerated approval to Nasdaq’s request that it applied for in March, saying the proposal was “consistent with ⁠the requirements of ‌the act” and did not raise new ⁠regulatory concerns.

“We welcome the SEC’s approval of ​Nasdaq MRX’s ‌proposal to list and trade Outcome‑Related Options (OROs) ​tied to ⁠the Nasdaq-100 Index,” a Nasdaq spokesperson said.

Its peer and options heavyweight Cboe Global Markets is also targeting a second-quarter launch for its “all-or-none” styled contracts focused on financial and economic events, subject to regulatory approvals.

(Reporting by Mrinmay Dey in Mexico City; Editing ​by Stephen Coates)