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IMF says energy, commodity prices fall after Iran deal but will take time to normalize

By Thomson Reuters Jun 25, 2026 | 10:16 AM

(Corrects forecast year to 2026 in final paragraph from 2025)

WASHINGTON, June 25 (Reuters) – The ​International Monetary Fund said ‌on Thursday that it has seen energy and commodity prices fall since the U.S.-Iran agreement to halt ‌hostilities ​and reopen the ⁠Strait of Hormuz, ⁠but it will take time for prices and Gulf trade flows to normalize.

IMF spokesperson Julie ​Kozack said that in the next update of its ⁠World Economic Outlook ⁠on July 8, the ​Fund will decide whether to continue ​with the three growth scenarios ‌that it presented in April that depended on Iran war outcomes.

As the Strait of Hormuz ⁠remained closed in May, keeping benchmark oil prices above $100 per barrel, Kozack ⁠had ‌said that the global ⁠economy was moving from ​the ‌more benign “reference forecast,” which ​had assumed ⁠a quick end to the conflict, to an “adverse scenario” with 2.5% global growth for 2026.

(Reporting by David Lawder, Editing by ​Franklin Paul)