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Bank of Canada lifts growth forecasts for 2026 and 2027

By Thomson Reuters Apr 29, 2026 | 8:47 AM

OTTAWA, April 29 (Reuters) – The Bank of Canada on Wednesday slightly lifted its ​growth forecasts for 2026 ‌and 2027 on the assumption that U.S. tariffs remain unchanged and oil prices gradually decline ‌to $75 ​a barrel by ⁠mid-2027.

In its quarterly ⁠monetary policy outlook, the bank said 2026 growth would be 1.2% compared to ​its 1.1% forecast in January and 2027 growth ⁠would be 1.6%, ⁠up from 1.5%.

On an ​annualised basis, first quarter growth ​in 2026 was 1.5%, down ‌from the 1.8% predicted in January. Second quarter annualized growth will most likely ⁠be 1.5%. the bank said.

Annual inflation in 2026 will average 2.3%, ⁠up ‌from the 2.0% forecast ⁠in January, before ​declining ‌to 2.1% in 2027, ​added the ⁠bank, which targets 2.0% inflation.

(Reporting by David Ljunggren, editing by Promit Mukherjee)

((Reuters Ottawa bureau, +1 647 480 7921; david.ljunggren@tr.com))

Keywords: ​CANADA CENBANK/FORECASTS