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Spotify forecasts fourth-quarter profit above estimates on AI bets

By Thomson Reuters Oct 22, 2026 | 5:02 AM

Oct 22 (Reuters) – Spotify forecast fourth-quarter profit above Wall Street estimates on Thursday, as the Swedish music streaming company bets on its AI-powered features to drive user growth ​in the crucial holiday season.

Shares of the company rose ‌nearly 4% in premarket trading.

Investors have closely watched the company’s profitability as it spends on AI to improve discovery and engagement to attract more users and fend off emerging music-generation rivals such as Suno and Udio.

Spotify expects ‌operating ​income of €820 million ($920.53 million), compared with analysts’ ⁠average estimate of €813.4 million, according ⁠to data compiled by LSEG.

The company’s AI-powered features include AI DJ, which curates personalized music mixes with spoken commentary, and prompt-based playlists that let users describe a mood or listening ​preference to generate tailored selections.

“We’ve built a strong business that keeps compounding, we invest when we see a path for ⁠growth, our costs are moderating, and ⁠there is more runway ahead,” co-CEO Alex Norstrom said ​in a statement.

In the third quarter, Spotify’s operating income of €672 million ​came in line with Visible Alpha-compiled analysts’ average estimate ‌of €671.8 million.

It posted revenue of €4.97 billion in the three months ended September 30, compared with an LSEG-compiled estimate of €4.98 billion. It reported earnings per share of €2.48, compared with estimates of €2.80.

Spotify’s monthly active ⁠users forecast of 818 million for the fourth quarter was marginally below Visible Alpha estimates of 819 million, while its outlook for about 10 ⁠million increase in ‌premium subscribers to 316 million was above expectations ⁠of 314.7 million.

Its monthly active users grew ​1% sequentially ‌in the third quarter to reach 788 million.

Earlier ​this week, ⁠Spotify announced a licensing deal with music distributor Believe for its upcoming paid tool for fan-made AI covers and remixes. It has also signed licensing deals with Universal Music Group, Merlin and Kobalt for the tool.

($1 = 0.8908 euros)

(Reporting by Jaspreet Singh in Bengaluru; Editing ​by Sriraj Kalluvila)