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Nvidia, Broadcom shielded as AI power crunch hits chip supply chain, says Morgan Stanley

By Thomson Reuters Oct 5, 2026 | 9:12 AM

Oct 5 (Reuters) – Nvidia and Broadcom are relatively insulated from a worsening US data-center power crunch, but any resultant ​delay in AI deployments can affect ‌makers of memory, optical and other secondary chip components, Morgan Stanley said on Monday.

• The brokerage estimated last month that US data-center developers face a ‌34% ​net power shortfall through ⁠2028, equivalent to 32 ⁠GW, after accounting for measures such as behind-the-meter generation and fuel cells

• The AI boom has triggered billions of dollars ​in data-center investment, but the vast computing and electricity needs of generative AI are ⁠increasingly running up against ⁠US power supply issues

• Morgan ​Stanley and Goldman Sachs have both flagged mounting ​constraints on the US data-center buildout; GS ‌expects limited near-term impact from political pushback, while MS sees labor, power and political challenges

• Morgan Stanley said it does not ⁠see the bottlenecks putting Nvidia or Broadcom’s 2027 forecasts at risk, citing their visibility into chip ⁠placement, geographic ‌expansion and coordination between data centers, ⁠semiconductor suppliers and the power ​supply ‌chain

• If chip capacity cannot be ​deployed, ⁠customers could push out deliveries or cancel orders, with memory, optics, power-management and analog components most exposed to inventory disruption, the brokerage said

(Reporting by Kanishka Ajmera in Bengaluru; Editing by ​Joyjeet Das)