×

Brazil’s Lula holds lead over Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of election, Datafolha poll shows

By Thomson Reuters Sep 17, 2026 | 5:16 PM

SAO PAULO, Sept 17 (Reuters) – Brazil President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva held a narrow numerical ​lead over Senator Flavio ‌Bolsonaro in a potential runoff in the October presidential election, according to a Datafolha poll published on Thursday.

In the ‌runoff ​scenario, Lula had 46% ⁠support and Flavio ⁠Bolsonaro, the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, had 44%, unchanged from the previous Datafolha poll ​released on September 11.

• With a margin of error of 2 ⁠percentage points, the ⁠result indicates a technical ​tie.

• In a first-round scenario, Lula ​had 39%, compared with 36% for ‌Flavio Bolsonaro. Augusto Cury had 6%, Ronaldo Caiado 4%, Renan Santos 3% and Romeu Zema 2%.

• In ⁠the previous poll, Lula had 39% and Bolsonaro 35% in the first round.

• ⁠Under ‌Brazil’s electoral system, if no ⁠candidate wins more than ​50% ‌of valid votes in ​the first ⁠round, the top two advance to a runoff.

• Datafolha surveyed 2,002 people between September 15-17.

(Reporting by Andre Romani; Editing by Chris Reese and ​Kylie Madry)