×

BlackRock cools on emerging markets, sees value in euro government debt

By Thomson Reuters Jun 30, 2026 | 8:08 AM

June 30 (Reuters) – The BlackRock Investment Institute (BII) said on Tuesday it had become less bullish on the outlook ​for emerging market stocks and hard-currency ‌debt, but more upbeat on the outlook for euro zone government bonds.

Here are the main points from the mid-year outlook of the ‌BII, ​an arm of U.S.-based ⁠investment firm BlackRock that ⁠provides proprietary investment research:

• BII moved its overall stance on emerging market equities to a ‘neutral’ position from a small ‘overweight’. ​The firm said it saw “opportunities where the AI buildout drives demand for ⁠infrastructure, particularly in Latin ⁠America.”

• On emerging market hard ​currency, BII also moved to neutral from a ​small overweight, noting that fundamentals have ‌improved, but pointed to a “more attractive risk-reward profile” in emerging market local currency debt.

• It swapped its neutral stance on ⁠emerging market local debt to a small overweight. “We like the yield relative to its volatility ⁠and improving ‌fundamentals.”

• Outside emerging economies, the ⁠BII upped its stance on ​euro ‌zone government bonds from neutral ​to overweight. “We ⁠are overweight short- and medium-term bonds. Markets are pricing restrictive policy rates of about 3% for several years. We think that’s overdone.”

(Reporting by Karin Strohecker. Editing by ​Mark Potter)