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Italy industry output posts solid gain in March as Iran war impact awaited

By Thomson Reuters May 12, 2026 | 3:54 AM

ROME, May 12 (Reuters) – Italian industrial output rose by 0.7% in March compared to the previous month, data showed on Tuesday, ​offering some hope to the country’s long-struggling ‌manufacturing sector, although output in the first quarter still contracted slightly from the previous three months.

The data shows some initial resilience from Italian industry in the face ‌of ​surging energy costs triggered by ⁠the US/Israel strikes on ⁠Iran which began on Feb. 28.

A Reuters survey of 14 analysts had pointed to a 0.2% month-on-month increase in March, following a 0.2% ​rise in February.

Despite these gains, in the January-to-March period output in the euro zone’s ⁠third-largest economy was still down ⁠0.2% compared to the previous three ​months, national statistics agency ISTAT reported.

On a work ​day-adjusted year-on-year basis, industrial output was up 1.5% ‌in March versus a forecast of a 0.3% increase, following a 0.4% rise in February.

The outlook for Italy’s economy remains clouded by the ⁠turmoil in the Middle East.

Giorgia Meloni’s government last month cut its economic growth outlook to 0.6% for this ⁠year and ‌next, reflecting the increase in energy ⁠costs and geopolitical tensions, from previous ​targets ‌of 0.7% and 0.8% respectively.

In 2025 ​Italy grew ⁠by 0.5%.

In the first quarter of 2026 Italian gross domestic product increased by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter, following a 0.3% expansion in the previous three months.

(Reporting by Antonella Cinelli, graphic by Stefano Bernabei, editing by ​Gavin Jones)