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Election polls in New Zealand continue to show no clear outcome

By Thomson Reuters Oct 28, 2026 | 4:27 PM

WELLINGTON, Oct 29 (Reuters) – Nine days out from New Zealand’s general election on November 7, polls continue ​to show no clear winner ‌or even coalition grouping.

• A Radio New Zealand-Reid Research poll released on Thursday saw opposition party Labour sitting at 30.6% and ‌able ​to form a ⁠government with the support ⁠of the Greens and Opportunity. In this poll, the ruling National party had fallen to just 24.8% ​of the vote.

• A poll released earlier in the week by ⁠1News and Verian poll ⁠had National Party sitting at ​29% of the vote and alongside ​coalition partners New Zealand First and ACT ‌possibly had the numbers to return to government.

• Polls indicate several overhang seats – where a party wins ⁠more electorate seats than their party vote would allocate them so extra seats are added ⁠to ‌parliament – will be needed. The ⁠total number of seats in ​the ‌next parliament will be ​crucial to ⁠which coalition can form a government.

• New Zealand uses a mixed member proportional system, which tends to favour coalition governments.

(Reporting by Lucy Craymer; Editing by ​Alistair Bell)