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Swedish opposition holds big lead ahead of September vote, poll shows

By Thomson Reuters Aug 18, 2026 | 3:01 AM

(Corrects first graphic to show missing data from latest poll, edits third graphic to remove extraneous word from ​headline)

STOCKHOLM, Aug 18 (Reuters) – Sweden’s centre-left opposition ‌holds a 10 percentage point lead over the ruling right-wing coalition ahead of a September 13 election, making a change of government likely, according to ‌an ​opinion poll conducted on ⁠behalf of public broadcaster ⁠SVT.

No government has ever bridged a gap this wide in such a short time, and “only a miracle” could now prevent ​defeat for Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson and his four-party coalition, SVT reported on ⁠Tuesday.

The August 3-16 survey ⁠of some 3,000 voters showed Social ​Democrats leader Magdalena Andersson would likely become prime ​minister again after four years in ‌opposition, replacing Kristersson of the right-wing Moderates.

Sweden’s four left-leaning parties had a combined 53.9% backing, estimated to give them 196 seats, ⁠while the coalition government stood at 43.9%, or 153 seats, according to the survey conducted by the ⁠Verian polling ‌firm.

The campaign has focused on ⁠cost of living issues as ​well ‌as security, immigration, crime and energy ​supply.

The Social ⁠Democrats maintained their position as Sweden’s biggest party with 30.5% support, an increase of 0.2 percentage points in the 2022 election.

(Reporting by Anna Ringstrom and Terje Solsvik; editing by ​Niklas Pollard)