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Canada’s trade surplus in May jumps to a four-year high as US exports surge

By Thomson Reuters Jul 7, 2026 | 7:32 AM

By Promit Mukherjee

OTTAWA, July 7 (Reuters) – Canada’s trade surplus widened to a four-year high in May, with exports rising for the fourth consecutive month, as goods shipped to the United States topped their highest level since February last year, ​data showed on Tuesday.

Canada clocked a trade surplus of C$4.24 billion ($2.98 billion), up ‌0.9% from a revised C$3.41 billion posted in the prior month, Statistics Canada said, as exports of metals and energy byproducts increased during the Iran war.

A 1.5% jump in exports to top trading partner the U.S. led to Canada’s third consecutive trade surplus.

Analysts polled by Reuters had estimated a trade surplus of C$2.85 billion.

As ‌President Donald ​Trump’s tariffs slammed some critical sectors in Canada, businesses ⁠have tried to diversify away from ⁠the U.S., which usually bought almost three quarters of Canada’s total exports.

But unwinding decades-old supply chains from the world’s biggest market is not easy.

The share of Canada’s exports south of the border was almost 70% in May. Imports from the U.S. fell by 1.4%.

As ​a result, Canada’s trade surplus with the United States widened to C$11.6 billion in May from C$10.3 billion in April, posting its largest surplus since the record high observed ⁠in January 2025, the statistics agency said.

Exports to countries ⁠other than the U.S. continued to shrink, although at a lower ​rate in May than April, and imports from non-U.S. countries rose. This widened Canada’s trade deficit ​with countries other than the U.S. to C$7.4 billion in May.

“The diversification story ‌is not fizzling out,” said Prince Owusu, senior economist with Export Development Canada.

He said exports to countries such as Mexico, Brazil and Indonesia have grown and the U.S. share continues to be well below the 75% mark seen before the trade shock.

CRUDE OIL EXPORTS FALL

The monthly ⁠increase in exports was led by outbound shipments of metal ores and non-metallic minerals, which rose by 16.1%, data showed.

This was largely driven by sulfur exports, as Canada benefited from a slowdown ⁠in shipments passing through the ‌Strait of Hormuz since the conflict in the Middle East began.

Exports ⁠of consumer goods, industrial chemicals, and farm and fishing food products, also ​rose, ‌StatsCan said.

Energy exports dropped by 2% due to lower crude oil ​volume exports, after ⁠a 43.1% increase from February to April.

Total imports dropped by 0.2% led by an 18.2% drop in metal and non-metallic categories imports in May.

The Canadian dollar was trading down 0.06% to 1.4214 to the U.S. dollar, or 70.35 U.S. cents. Yields on the 2-year government bonds were up 0.9 basis points to 2.367%.

($1 = 1.4219 Canadian dollars)

(Reporting by Promit Mukherjee; Editing by Dale Smith, William ​Maclean and Sharon Singleton)