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Inflation slows in four German states in May, pointing to national decrease

By Thomson Reuters May 29, 2026 | 3:44 AM

By Maria Martinez

BERLIN, May 29 (Reuters) – Inflation fell in four key German states in May, preliminary data showed on Friday, suggesting ​Germany’s national inflation rate could ease ‌this month despite higher energy prices due to the Iran war.

In Bavaria, the inflation rate fell to 2.6% in May from 2.9% in April. In North Rhine-Westphalia, ‌it ​decreased to 2.4% from 2.7%, ⁠in Baden-Wuerttemberg to 2.4% ⁠from 2.6% and in Lower Saxony it fell to 2.7% from 3.0%.

The war in Iran had pushed up energy and raw material ​prices in previous months and the German government now expects inflation to accelerate to 2.7% ⁠this year and 2.8% ⁠in 2027.

Economists polled by Reuters are ​forecasting a harmonised national inflation rate in Germany – the ​euro zone’s largest economy – of 2.8% in ‌May, down from 2.9% in the previous month.

National figures will be released later on Friday.

The German data comes ahead of the euro zone ⁠inflation release on Tuesday. Inflation in the bloc is expected to come in at 3.3% in May, up ⁠from 3.0% ‌in the previous month, according to ⁠economists polled by Reuters.

The European Central ​Bank ‌kept interest rates on hold at ​its meeting ⁠in April, but a further increase in inflation is making it very likely that the bank will follow up its earlier warnings with actual policy action next month.

(Reporting by Maria MartinezEditing by ​Madeline Chambers)