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Nomura forecasts no Fed rate cuts in 2026 as inflation rises

By Thomson Reuters May 21, 2026 | 11:07 PM

May 22 (Reuters) – Nomura expects the U.S. Federal Reserve to ​leave interest rates ‌unchanged in 2026, as higher inflation and waning support among Fed ‌officials ​for policy ⁠easing diminish the ⁠chances of a near-term rate reduction.

“Incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh ​is likely still motivated to ease ⁠policy, but ⁠recent data and ​Fedspeak make us skeptical ​that he will be ‌able to convince a majority of the FOMC to go ⁠along with rate cuts,” Nomura said in a note ⁠dated ‌May 21.

The ⁠brokerage had earlier ​projected ‌two 25-basis-point interest ​rate cuts ⁠in September and December this year.

(Reporting by Kanishka Ajmera in Bengaluru; Editing by Harikrishnan ​Nair)