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Toyota sees 20% drop in annual profit as Iran war weighs

By Thomson Reuters May 8, 2026 | 12:08 AM

TOKYO, May 8 (Reuters) – Toyota forecast a 20% decline in profit for the current financial year on Friday, ​as cost and supply uncertainties stemming ‌from the Middle East conflict weigh on earnings even as robust demand for its hybrid models powers sales growth.

The world’s top-selling automaker expects ‌an ​operating income of 3.0 ⁠trillion yen ($19 billion) in ⁠the year to March 2027, compared with a result of 3.77 trillion yen in the year just ended.

Toyota’s outlook for ​the year was well below the 4.59 trillion yen median forecast in ⁠an LSEG poll of ⁠23 analysts.

Toyota said the lower ​outlook reflected limited scope for short-term measures to ​offset changes in the operating environment, ‌with mid- to long-term steps only partly complete.

The automaker said last week its vehicle sales in the Middle East fell ⁠sharply in March after shipments to the region were disrupted.

The outlook is the first Toyota issued ⁠under new ‌CEO Kenta Kon, who assumed ⁠his role last month and ​faces ‌the challenge of steering the ​automaker through ⁠the impact of U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs, which cut operating profit in the year just ended by 1.4 trillion yen.

($1 = 156.8600 yen)

(Reporting by Daniel Leussink; Editing by ​Tom Hogue)