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Traders pare bets on Fed rate cuts after jobs report

By Thomson Reuters Jul 3, 2025 | 7:45 AM

(Reuters) -A still-strong job market will keep the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates until September, and from delivering more than two quarter-point rate cuts all year, traders bet on Thursday

Futures contracts tied to the U.S. central bank’s policy rate indicated just a 5% chance of a Fed rate cut in July, down from 25% before a Labor Department report showed U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 147,000 in June and the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell, to 4.1%.

Traders now see just two rate cuts by December; earlier they had expected three rate cuts by yearend.

(Reporting by Ann Saphir; Editing by Alex Richardson)