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Exclusive-Kalshi ends Donald Trump Jr’s advisory contract due to Polymarket conflict

By Thomson Reuters Nov 12, 2026 | 12:18 PM

By Anirban Sen

NEW YORK, Nov 12 (Reuters) – Kalshi has ended its advisory contract with Donald Trump Jr, after his venture capital ​firm 1789 Capital increased its stake in ‌arch-rival Polymarket, according to a spokesperson for the $40 billion prediction markets startup.

“We have mutually agreed to end Don’s advisory role after his firm’s significant investment in a competitor this ‌past ​summer. We are grateful for ⁠his contributions in helping ⁠us market Kalshi to more customers,” the spokesperson said, adding that the decision was mutual and the conversations to end the contract started ​in August since 1789 led Polymarket’s most recent funding round.

Trump Jr was named a “strategic advisor” ⁠to Kalshi in January ⁠2025 and was given a stake ​in the company that the Financial Times reported at the ​time was worth $300,000.

Prediction markets first rose to ‌prominence in 2024 as they strongly diverged from traditional opinion polls by signaling a Trump victory. Kalshi, at the time, boasted about the accuracy ⁠of its own polls, while criticizing other polls and “traditional media” for failing to anticipate Trump’s “decisive victory.”

Now, such platforms face ⁠the prospect ‌of heightened scrutiny from Democrats in ⁠the US Congress. Senator Elizabeth Warren, ​for ‌instance, has vowed to crack down ​on insider ⁠trading on prediction markets.

Polymarket and Donald Trump Jr did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

(Reporting by Anirban Sen in New York, additional reporting by Douglas Gillison; Editing by Megan Davies and ​David Gregorio)