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Study suggests not all obesity means ill-health

By Thomson Reuters Nov 11, 2026 | 11:50 AM

By Jennifer Rigby

LONDON, Nov 11 (Reuters) – Only between a quarter and a third of people currently diagnosed with obesity should be considered as in poor health, according to a new study that joins calls to overhaul how the condition ​is diagnosed.

The study, published in Nature on Wednesday, follows a proposal last year ‌from experts and medical organizations to move obesity diagnosis beyond just body mass index (BMI), based on a person’s weight and height, to include body fat and broader health.

The study attempts to show what this new definition could mean for diagnosis levels, prevalence, and ultimately, treatment, for a condition the World Health Organization currently estimates ‌affects ​more than one billion people globally.

Obesity can be a risk ⁠factor for type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular ⁠disease, liver and kidney disease and cancer. The study suggests defining it as pre-clinical, when the condition is largely a risk factor, and clinical, when it is causing ill health.

WAIST CIRCUMFERENCE SHOULD BE PART OF DIAGNOSIS, STUDY SAYS

Using data from almost 850,000 adults ​from China, Britain, the US and Spain, the study estimates that under the new framework, 1% to 3% of those defined as obese using BMI alone would not be, ⁠while another 5% to 9%, with higher body fat ⁠for example, would be diagnosed with the condition. Across a population, ​this could affect tens of millions of people.

The study’s senior author Francesco Rubino, professor and chair ​of metabolic and bariatric surgery at King’s College London, said the inaccuracy of BMI ‌measurements was well-known.

“But we haven’t so far got a better system,” he said. That is what the new framework aims to do, he added, saying it could “provide a meaningful clinical characterization of obesity that can inform care and policy.”

The new framework proposes measuring body fat, including by waist ⁠circumference, as well as BMI, and considering if a patient has any organ dysfunction linked to weight, like heart or liver problems, before making a diagnosis.

This means some people with high BMI ⁠alone would not be classed ‌as having obesity. Those who have high body fat and high ⁠BMI would be diagnosed with “pre-clinical obesity”, and those who also have ​organ dysfunction ‌would have “clinical obesity” – considered an active disease that would usually require ​more urgent ⁠treatment.

Under these criteria, only on average roughly 27% of people with obesity across the four studied countries have clinical obesity, the study estimated – representing around 8.5% of all adults.

The majority of those with “pre-clinical obesity” – around 82% on average across the four countries studied – did not progress to clinical obesity, although progression rates were higher in China and Spain, the study found.

(Reporting by Jennifer Rigby; ​Editing by Alexandra Hudson)