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Expedia’s downbeat revenue forecast dims strong quarter on steady travel demand

By Thomson Reuters Nov 4, 2026 | 3:11 PM

By Anshuman Tripathy

Nov 4 (Reuters) – Online travel firm Expedia Group forecast fourth-quarter revenue largely below Wall Street expectations, as the industry struggles with the Middle East conflict and unrest in Europe, ​sending its shares down 9% in extended trading.

The downbeat ‌outlook on Wednesday overshadowed a beat on third-quarter results and a raise in annual gross bookings forecast, as steady spending by wealthy consumers aided international travel demand amid persistent inflation.

The company projected fourth-quarter revenue in the range of $3.69 billion to $3.75 ‌billion, ​with the midpoint below analysts’ estimates of $3.74 ⁠billion, according to data compiled ⁠by LSEG.

The forecast moderation was due to the US midterm elections and unrest in the EMEA region, Chief Financial Officer Derek Andersen said on a post-earnings call.

Andersen added that events in the ​Middle East and Europe were disrupting demand and hurting long-haul routes within the regions.

Expedia’s quarterly forecast echoes comments from peer Booking ⁠Holdings on travel disruptions to and from ⁠the Middle East and the impact of elevated airfares, ​alongside unrest in certain European cities.

Hotel operators including Hilton and Marriott have ​also flagged a drag from the Middle East conflict ‌on their fourth-quarter results, along with impact from the elections.

However, the Vrbo parent’s revenue rose about 12% to $4.94 billion for the quarter ended September 30, beating estimates of $4.74 billion. Its third-quarter adjusted profit of $9.39 per ⁠share beat Wall Street estimates of $8.89.

CEO Ariane Gorin told Reuters that US customer demand was strong in the quarter in both domestic travel and ⁠outbound to Europe and ‌Asia.

In its post-earnings call with analysts, Gorin added ⁠that demand was especially strong among the more ​affluent ‌customers, who prioritized travel despite elevated airfares.

Expedia raised its ​annual gross ⁠bookings forecast to a range of $131.4 billion to $131.9 billion, from $129.5 billion to $130.8 billion earlier.

Analysts on average were expecting annual gross bookings of $130.22 billion.

The Seattle-based company expects annual revenue of $16.37 billion to $16.43 billion, compared with $16.05 billion to $16.22 billion earlier.

(Reporting by Anshuman Tripathy in Bengaluru; Editing by Sriraj Kalluvila ​and Leroy Leo)