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Keurig Dr Pepper flags slower fourth-quarter coffee profits as shoppers trade down

By Thomson Reuters Nov 3, 2026 | 6:04 AM

(Corrects typo in CEO’s name in paragraph 4)

By Anuja Bharat Mistry

Nov 3 (Reuters) – Keurig Dr Pepper said on Tuesday it expects slower US coffee profit ​growth in the fourth quarter on cautious spending and ‌increased competition from private players.

Shares of the company fell about 5% despite a quarterly beat, but are up roughly 31% year-to-date.

Consumer goods companies are facing muted demand as budget-conscious shoppers shun pricier options ‌in ​favor of cheaper private label as ⁠they battle higher costs ⁠of fuel and gas.

“We are seeing heightened value sensitivity in at-home coffee, particularly among the low- and middle-income consumers,” said CEO Tim Cofer during a post-earnings call, adding ​that US coffee profitability would grow at a more gradual pace than previously expected.

Coffee price cuts in some ⁠regions during the third quarter helped ⁠volumes grow 6.9%, but executives said single-serve ​demand was softer than expected.

Keurig on Tuesday lowered its fiscal ​2026 sales target for Dutch coffee giant JDE Peet’s, ‌whose acquisition it completed in April, to $8.3 billion-$8.4 billion from the prior range of $8.5 billion-$8.7 billion.

The company plans to take its coffee unit public early next year.

BEATS QUARTERLY SALES, ⁠PROFIT TARGETS

Keurig Dr Pepper reaffirmed its annual forecasts for the third time this year after beating quarterly sales and profit estimates ⁠on demand for ‌its higher-priced sodas and energy drink brands.

Volumes ⁠in its US refreshment beverages segment — its ​biggest ‌revenue generator — rose 7.2% in the quarter, ​while prices ⁠climbed 3.7% year-over-year.

Adjusted profit of 66 cents per share topped estimates of 62 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Quarterly sales rose 70.6% to $7.34 billion, and edged past estimates of a 70.2% rise.

(Reporting by Anuja Bharat Mistry in Bengaluru; Editing ​by Vijay Kishore)