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Palantir forecasts strong quarterly revenue on AI demand

By Thomson Reuters Nov 2, 2026 | 3:08 PM

By Jaspreet Singh

Nov 2 (Reuters) – Palantir Technologies forecast revenue above estimates for the last three months of the year after topping third-quarter expectations, banking on sustained demand ​for its data-analytics software from the US government and ‌commercial clients.

The company expects fourth-quarter revenue to be between $2.649 billion and $2.653 billion, it said on Monday, above LSEG-compiled analysts’ average estimate of $2.46 billion.

However, shares fell nearly 3% in extended trading.

“On the negative side, some investors ‌may ​be disappointed with the US commercial bookings,” ⁠William Blair analysts said.

The ⁠growth in US commercial total contract value – the potential lifetime value of signed contracts – slowed to 11% year-over-year in the third quarter, from more than 153% in the previous ​quarter.

Palantir said it signed multiple eight-figure deals in the quarter that were “shorter in duration than usual” as customers rapidly adopted ⁠initial sovereign AI capabilities, which allow ⁠enterprises to retain control over their data and ​how AI is deployed and used.

In the third quarter, revenue ​from commercial clients surpassed government revenue in the US ‌for the first time, driven by the rapid adoption of AI software to improve operations and safeguard sensitive data.

Palantir, which develops the Maven Smart System used by NATO’s military headquarters and ⁠several European armed forces, built its business around government and defense contracts.

Total quarterly revenue jumped about 96% to $2.31 billion, the second straight quarter ⁠of 90% growth. ‌Analysts had estimated revenue of $2.18 billion.

US commercial ⁠revenue was $984 million, while US government revenue came ​in ‌at $953 million during the period.

The company reported ​a total of ⁠1,090 customers in the trailing 12-month period ending September 30, with 904 classified as commercial.

Palantir also raised its annual revenue expectations to between $8.530 billion and $8.534 billion, up from its prior estimates of between $8.150 billion and $8.158 billion.

(Reporting by Jaspreet Singh in Bengaluru; Editing ​by Sriraj Kalluvila)