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PayPal raises 2026 profit forecast as turnaround gains traction

By Thomson Reuters Oct 27, 2026 | 6:09 AM

By Manya Saini

Oct 27 (Reuters) – PayPal lifted its annual adjusted profit forecast on Tuesday, as a years-long turnaround starts to bear fruit, with improving margins and resilient consumer spending providing fresh momentum.

The company has stepped up efforts to revive growth, most recently ​under CEO Enrique Lores, as it struggles to sustain its pandemic-era popularity amid intense ‌competition from Apple and Google and newer fintechs.

“We are making good progress in our multi-year transformation,” Lores, who took the helm earlier this year after the board ousted Alex Chriss over dissatisfaction with the pace of change and execution, said in a statement.

“While there is more work to do, we are increasingly confident in our path to ‌durable, ​profitable growth and remain focused on execution,” he added.

The payments company ⁠now expects full-year adjusted profit ⁠of about $5.60 per share, compared with its previous forecast and Wall Street analysts’ expectations of $5.38, according to estimates compiled by LSEG.

Adjusted profit came in at $1.45 per share in the three months ended September 30, sailing past estimates of $1.31.

Revenue of $8.6 billion in the third quarter was a ​tad below estimates of $8.7 billion. Shares of the company fell 1.2% in premarket trading.

REVIVAL ON TRACK

The company said it was on track to achieve $700 million in gross run-rate cost savings by the ⁠end of 2026, driven by cuts to more than ⁠2,000 jobs and a reduction of over 25% in managerial roles.

Efforts to ​streamline operations, optimize its portfolio and accelerate AI adoption, including using AI chat agents to support customer ​service, are also supporting the cost-management efforts, PayPal said.

The company has set a goal ‌of securing at least $1.5 billion in gross run-rate savings over the next two to three years.

Adjusted operating margin, a key metric for investors, expanded 16 basis points to 18.8% in the third quarter.

Earlier this year, Reuters reported, citing sources, that PayPal had received a buyout offer of $60.50 per share ⁠from Stripe and private equity firm Advent International, a bid that many analysts described as “low-ball.”

The offer, which valued PayPal at about $53 billion, was reportedly deemed inadequate by the board and represented a fraction of ⁠the roughly $360 billion valuation the company ‌commanded at its peak in 2021.

SPENDING ENGINE KEEPS HUMMING

More broadly, US ⁠consumers have continued to open their wallets despite economic uncertainty and sticky ​inflation, helping ‌sustain spending growth across the payments industry.

PayPal’s total payment volume grew ​7% on a ⁠foreign exchange-neutral basis to $487.1 billion in the third quarter.

The year-end holiday season brings a crucial sales period for the payments sector, as retailers roll out eye-catching discounts and doorbuster deals online and in stores for Black Friday, Cyber Monday and Christmas.

PayPal expects adjusted profit in the fourth quarter to come in at $1.43 per share, well above Street expectations of $1.35 and $1.23 a year earlier.

(Reporting by Manya Saini in Bengaluru; ​Editing by Sriraj Kalluvila)