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European corporate earnings set to get a boost from energy windfall

By Thomson Reuters Oct 22, 2026 | 9:25 AM

Oct 22 (Reuters) – The outlook for European companies has slightly improved, the latest LSEG forecasts showed on Thursday, as energy majors ​are expected to deliver a big jump ‌in third-quarter profit and investors digest a mixed bag of results.

Companies on Europe’s benchmark STOXX 600 index are expected to report quarterly earnings growth of 21.9% on ‌average, ​the second-best growth rate in ⁠the past four years, ⁠the LSEG report showed, based on results from 47 companies and market estimates for those that are yet to report.

That is an improvement ​compared to last week’s 20.7% forecast.

Energy majors are outliers as their trading desks profit ⁠from the volatility and disruption ⁠set off by the US-Iran war ​and are seen posting earnings 134.1% higher compared ​to a year earlier.

Excluding the energy sector, the ‌rest of the companies in the STOXX 600 index are expected to book considerably more moderate gains, at 8.4%, on average.

The outlook for ⁠European blue-chip companies’ third-quarter revenue has also improved and is now seen growing at 13.3% from a year ⁠ago, which ‌would mark the best showing since ⁠the third quarter of 2022.

But despite ​the ‌exceptional growth forecast, European corporations might ​struggle to ⁠convince investors weary of higher oil prices and soaring government borrowing costs, which are spurring fears of a replay of the euro zone debt crisis.

(Reporting by Javi West Larrañaga in Gdansk; Editing by ​Arun Koyyur)