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Tesla drops as spending pullback clouds AI, robotics ambitions

By Thomson Reuters Oct 22, 2026 | 5:53 AM

Oct 22 (Reuters) – Tesla’s shares slid 5% in premarket trading on Thursday as the EV maker’s reduced capital spending forecast raised questions about ​the pace of investment behind Elon Musk’s AI, ‌robotics and autonomous-driving ambitions.

The company on Wednesday lowered its 2026 capital spending forecast to about $20 billion from more than $25 billion after spending far less than expected on AI and robotics ‌in ​the third quarter, which led ⁠to a surprise positive ⁠free cash flow.

The strong position may prove valuable as CEO Musk explores combining Tesla with the far more capital-intensive SpaceX.

But “investors are likely to come away ​with mixed feelings,” J.P.Morgan analysts, led by Rajat Gupta, wrote in a note. “The delay helps near-term cash ⁠burn but also suggests delays ⁠in investments that matter for fruition ​of long-term opportunities.”

Wednesday’s management commentary suggested spending will be ramped ​up in 2027 and 2028 as Tesla continues ‌to fund robotaxi, Optimus, AI compute and Terafab milestones, the brokerage said.

Tesla’s shares have declined about 14% this year, in contrast to the Nasdaq’s roughly 15% ⁠gain. The stock is about 23% below its record intraday high of $498.83, reached in December 2025.

Its valuation, however, remains ⁠well above peers: ‌Tesla traded at 188.24 times its ⁠forward earnings estimates, compared with 6.58 for ​Ford ‌and 5.16 for General Motors.

“The risk ​is Tesla ⁠now enters a period of limbo while investors await news on a potential combination with SpaceX, which … might face significant regulatory hurdles,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

(Reporting by Joel Jose in Bengaluru; Editing ​by Joyjeet Das)