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Morning Bid: Inflation relief gives bonds little reprieve

By Thomson Reuters Sep 30, 2026 | 11:35 PM

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Rae Wee

Asian markets ushered in the final quarter of the year on a muted ​note on Thursday, though bond markets remained firmly ‌in focus for investors as yields hovered at multi-year highs.

A slower-than-expected rise in US inflation in August, alongside a downward revision to July’s reading, reduced some bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike this month.

But that ‌did ​little to help US Treasury yields, ⁠which scaled fresh peaks overnight ⁠and held near those levels in Asia trade. [US/]

Stalling peace talks between the US and Iran to end the seven-month-long war in the Middle East have done little to help ​the global inflation picture, with the euro zone feeling the pain as prices climbed far quicker than expected in ⁠some of the bloc’s biggest economies ⁠last month.

In stock markets, blockbuster earnings from AI ​chipmaker Micron Technology failed to lift the frayed mood in ​Asia, though trading was thinned with markets in Hong ‌Kong and China closed for a holiday.

Micron forecast quarterly revenue above estimates and said customers had increased commitments under its long-term supply agreements to $32 billion, signalling unabated demand for AI memory ⁠chips.

Elsewhere, a quarterly Bank of Japan (BOJ) Tankan survey showed Japanese business confidence hit an eight-year high over July-September amid elevated inflation expectations, ⁠bolstering the case ‌for interest rate hikes.

Meanwhile, a summary of opinions ⁠from the BOJ’s September meeting, at which ​policymakers ‌raised borrowing costs to a 31-year high, showed ​some of ⁠them saw the need to accelerate the pace of tightening or move rates closer to the central bank’s desired level sooner.

Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:

– UK nationwide house price (September)

– France and Germany S&P manufacturing PMI (September)

– Euro zone unemployment rate (August)

(Editing ​by Jacqueline Wong)