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Brazil mid-September inflation exceeds forecasts ahead of tight election

By Thomson Reuters Sep 25, 2026 | 7:37 AM

SAO PAULO, Sept 25 (Reuters) – Brazil’s mid-September inflation accelerated more than expected, official data showed on Friday, adding to concerns ​about persistent price pressures as voters ‌head into a tight presidential election and the central bank weighs its next steps after cutting interest rates for a fifth straight meeting.

Annual inflation hit 4.47% ‌in ​the period, statistics agency ⁠IBGE said, up from ⁠4.24% a month earlier and above all forecasts in a Reuters poll of economists, which had a median estimate of 4.30%.

• ​In the month to mid-September, consumer prices rose 0.70%, reversing a 0.40% decline in ⁠mid-August and exceeding the ⁠median forecast of 0.53% in the ​Reuters survey

• Housing costs were the main driver ​of the monthly increase, rising 2.07% as ‌electricity prices moved higher, while closely-watched food and beverage prices rose 0.4%

• Annual inflation remained within the central bank’s target range of ⁠3%, plus or minus 1.5 percentage points

• The bank lowered the benchmark Selic rate by 25 basis ⁠points last ‌week to 13.75%, citing signs ⁠of an economic slowdown, and kept ​its ‌options open ahead of next ​month’s election

• ⁠Inflation has become a central campaign issue as leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva seeks re-election in a tight race against right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro

(Reporting by Gabriel Araujo; Editing by ​Isabel Teles)