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Norfolk Southern sees fuel prices weighing on third quarter despite freight share gains

By Thomson Reuters Sep 15, 2026 | 5:17 PM

Sept 15 (Reuters) – Norfolk Southern expects higher fuel prices to creating a significant headwind in the third quarter, even as ​the railroad operator continues to gain ‌freight share from trucks, executives told investors at a Morgan Stanley conference in California on Tuesday.

CFO Jason Zampi said fuel prices had been expected to peak ‌around ​May, but continued increases now ⁠represent roughly a ⁠250-basis-point headwind to Norfolk Southern’s operating ratio compared with expectations two months ago.

He added third-quarter performance is projected to be slightly worse ​than normal seasonal trends.

Despite the fuel-related pressure, executives see continued incremental freight market share ⁠gains in the current ⁠environment and said Norfolk Southern sees ​its next major opportunity to shift freight from ​highways to rail during next year’s intermodal ‌contract bidding season.

Zampi said customers are “mostly past” tariff uncertainty, describing tariffs as a largely one-time event that no longer appears to have ⁠a significant ongoing influence on markets such as automotive. He said the conflict in the Middle East ⁠remains a ‌bigger concern because of its impact ⁠on fuel prices and global ​shipping ‌routes.

On the proposed merger with Union ​Pacific, the ⁠executives noted that the regulatory review is moving broadly in line with expectations and that the current schedule provides greater visibility into the process.

(Reporting by Aatreyee Dasgupta in Bengaluru; Editing by ​Tasim Zahid)