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Japan core inflation seen steady at 1.8% in August: Reuters poll

By Thomson Reuters Sep 10, 2026 | 9:25 PM

TOKYO, Sept 11 (Reuters) – Japan’s core consumer inflation likely held steady in August as the impact of higher oil prices from the Middle ​East conflict was offset by government subsidies, ‌a Reuters poll showed on Friday.

Here are a few details:

• The nationwide core consumer price index (CPI), which includes energy items but excludes fresh food prices, is expected to have risen ‌1.8% ​in August from a year earlier, ⁠according to a poll ⁠of 16 economists, the same as July and remaining below the BOJ’s 2% target.

• “Higher crude oil and naphtha prices are increasingly being passed on to ​consumer prices, especially for daily necessities, which will push inflation upward,” said Ryohei Ikeda, an analyst ⁠at Mizuho Research Institute. “However, subsidies ⁠for electricity and gas bills will ​act as a factor pushing inflation downward.”

• Still, data released ​on Friday showed Japan’s wholesale prices remained elevated ‌in August, rising 7.6% from a year earlier.

• Rising fuel costs and higher import prices due to the weak yen have added price pressure to ⁠the economy. Oil prices rose on Friday and both major benchmarks are on track to end the week at over $100 a ⁠barrel for ‌the first time since mid-May.

• Analysts polled ⁠by Reuters expect the BOJ to ​hike ‌interest rates to 1.25% at its two-day ​meeting ending ⁠next Friday, amid persistent concerns over broadening price pressures and yen weakness.

• The internal affairs ministry will announce CPI data at 8:30 a.m. on Friday, September 18 (2330 GMT on September 17).

(Reporting by Satoshi Sugiyama; Editing ​by Kim Coghill)