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South African economy contracts in second quarter, reflecting Iran war impact

By Thomson Reuters Sep 8, 2026 | 4:02 AM

PRETORIA, Sept 8 (Reuters) – South Africa’s economy contracted in the second quarter of 2026 after ​six quarters of growth, official ‌data showed on Tuesday, in the first release to properly reflect the impact of the Iran war.

• Gross ‌domestic ​product (GDP) contracted 0.2% on ⁠a seasonally adjusted ⁠quarter-on-quarter basis, whereas economists polled by Reuters had forecast it would shrink 0.1%.

• Statistics South Africa ​revised first-quarter growth to 0.4% from 0.5% previously.

• At the ⁠time of the ⁠last release, economists said ​second-quarter output data would offer a ​truer reflection of the impact of ‌the U.S-Israeli war against Iran.

• Although the war started in late February, it took time for ⁠domestic fuel price hikes to kick in, causing ripple effects throughout the economy.

• ⁠Stats ‌SA data showed GDP ⁠grew 0.9% in April-June on ​a ‌year-on-year basis, also worse ​than economists’ ⁠forecast for 1.2% growth.

• Economists tend to follow South Africa’s quarter-on-quarter GDP reading more closely.

(Reporting by Kopano Gumbi;Writing by Sfundo Parakozov;Editing by ​Alexander Winning)