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Sweden election race tightens as Liberals make parliament threshold, poll shows

By Thomson Reuters Sep 7, 2026 | 3:24 AM

STOCKHOLM, Sept 7 (Reuters) – Sweden’s ruling right-wing bloc has closed in further on the centre-left opposition ahead of Sunday’s ​general election, according to a fresh ‌opinion poll by Novus that shows the Liberals party making parliament’s 4% threshold for the first time in years.

While earlier polls have pointed to near-certain ‌victory ​for the opposition headed ⁠by Social Democrats leader ⁠Magdalena Andersson, the latest surveys show that the government of Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, in office since 2022, may still ​win.

The Novus poll, published on Monday by commercial broadcaster TV4, indicated 50.3% backing for ⁠the four centre-left parties ⁠while the three-party government and ​its support party, the anti-immigration Sweden Democrats, stood ​at 47.9%.

The gap between the blocs was ‌0.2 percentage points smaller than in Novus’ previous poll.

Junior coalition party the Liberals rose to 4.3% from 3.3%, clearing the threshold ⁠needed to win seats and easing fears the party could lose its 16 seats and the ⁠coalition its ‌majority.

Three weeks ago the centre-left held ⁠a lead of 10 percentage ​points ‌in a poll by a different ​agency, ⁠which political scientists at the time said was a near-insurmountable gap to bridge before election day.

Novus polled 2,888 voters between September 1 and September 5.

(Reporting by Anna Ringstrom, editing by ​Stine Jacobsen)