×

Lula’s lead over Flavio Bolsonaro narrows ahead of Brazil election, Quaest poll shows

By Thomson Reuters Sep 2, 2026 | 8:47 AM

SAO PAULO, Sept 2 (Reuters) – Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s lead over right-wing challenger Senator Flavio Bolsonaro narrowed further ahead ​of October’s election, a Quaest poll ‌commissioned by Globo showed on Wednesday.

• In a simulated second-round runoff, Lula would win 42% of the vote, compared with 41% for the eldest son of former President Jair ‌Bolsonaro.

• ​Quaest called this a technical ⁠tie, as its poll ⁠has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.

• An earlier Quaest poll released on August 14 had Lula leading Bolsonaro by 43% to ​40%.

• In a first-round scenario, Lula would lead with 37% of the votes, followed by Bolsonaro (30%), ⁠Augusto Cury (10%) and Renan Santos (3%).

• ⁠Quaest is the third major survey ​this week to show author and psychiatrist Cury in ​third place, as TV appearances and strong social ‌media reach have lifted his standing in polls.

• If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the first round, the two frontrunners ⁠advance to a runoff.

• Quaest surveyed 2,004 people between August 30 and September 1.

• This is the first ⁠Quaest poll ‌released since the start of the ⁠television and radio political campaign.

• It also ​comes ‌after new developments in an investigation ​involving Lula’s ⁠son, Fabio Luis Lula da Silva, over allegations he improperly assisted a lobbyist in dealings with the Health Ministry. Lula’s son has denied the allegations.

(Reporting by Gabriel Araujo; Writing by Isabel Teles; Editing by ​Alexandra Hudson)