×

Swedish government raises GDP forecast ahead of September election

By Thomson Reuters Aug 27, 2026 | 9:59 AM

STOCKHOLM, Aug 27 (Reuters) – Sweden’s centre-right coalition raised its forecast for GDP growth ahead of an election next month and said its policies to boost ​households and businesses meant Sweden’s economy would ‌outpace European rivals over the coming four years.

In a fresh forecast on Thursday the government said its GDP growth would be 2.5%, up from 2.3% seen in June. It continued to see growth ‌of ​2.5% in 2027.

“Sweden is in a ⁠significantly stronger position than ⁠it was in 2022,” Finance Minister Elisabeth Svantesson told reporters.

“It is stronger in terms of economic indicators such as inflation, stronger in terms of the current ​recovery, and is now seeing growth that is relatively high compared with many, many other countries,” she said.

The ⁠EU is expected to see ⁠growth of around 1.1% this year.

Sweden’s government ​will hope its bullish message on the economy helps turn ​around its deficit in the polls ahead of the ‌September 13 vote.

Like many other countries, Sweden has been suffering a cost-of-living crisis that followed the COVID pandemic.

The government has cut taxes on fuel and VAT on food ⁠and raised in-work tax credits, and it is promising more measures to boost households’ purchasing power – like free kindergarten places ⁠and more in-work ‌tax credits – if it wins re-election.

But despite ⁠inflation slowing back below 1%, stronger growth ​and ‌an improving labour market, households remain gloomy – ​particularly those ⁠on lower incomes.

The latest poll on Thursday showed the ruling coalition and the Sweden Democrats garnering 45.6% of the vote. The opposition is on 52.4%.

($1 = 9.5201 Swedish crowns)

(Reporting by Simon Johnson and Anna Ringstrom, editing by Terje Solsvik ​and Hugh Lawson)