×

Lula, Flavio Bolsonaro neck and neck ahead of Brazil election, Nexus poll shows

By Thomson Reuters Aug 24, 2026 | 5:40 AM

SAO PAULO, Aug 24 (Reuters) – Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and right-wing ​Senator Flavio Bolsonaro are ‌in a technical tie in a potential runoff ahead of October’s presidential election, a Nexus poll ‌commissioned ​by lender BTG ⁠Pactual showed on ⁠Monday.

• In a simulated second-round runoff, Lula would receive 46% of voter support compared with ​45% for Bolsonaro.

• An August 17 poll had ⁠Lula leading Bolsonaro ⁠47%-44%.

• In a first-round ​scenario, Lula would lead with 41% ​of the votes, followed by ‌Bolsonaro (37%), Ronaldo Caiado (5%), Renan Santos (3%) and Romeu Zema (3%).

• The previous poll showed Lula at 41% ⁠and Bolsonaro at 36% in the first round.

• If no candidate wins ⁠more ‌than 50% of valid ⁠votes in the first ​round, ‌the two frontrunners advance ​to ⁠a runoff.

• Nexus surveyed 2,006 people between August 21-23; margin of error 2 percentage points.

(Reporting by Isabel Teles; Editing by ​Gabriel Araujo)