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Deere raises 2026 profit view as AI construction boom lifts quarterly income

By Thomson Reuters Aug 20, 2026 | 5:15 AM

By Nandan Mandayam

Aug 20 (Reuters) – Deere, the world’s largest farm equipment manufacturer, raised its full-year net income forecast on Thursday and posted its first rise in quarterly profit in three years ​on the back of an AI-driven construction boom and tariff ‌refunds.

The company’s shares rose more than 8% and were on track for their best day in six months.

Rising U.S. government and private infrastructure spending alongside the vast AI-fueled buildout of data centers has lifted demand for construction equipment, with Deere’s construction and ‌forestry ​segment emerging as its fastest-growing business. Quarterly ⁠net sales in the segment ⁠rose 18% from a year earlier.

The trend has helped Deere weather a prolonged lull in demand for its large tractors and combine harvesters amid rising costs and falling agricultural yields.

Quarterly revenue at its mainstay ​Production & Precision Agriculture segment dropped 6% from a year earlier, though CEO John C. May said Deere continues “to believe 2026 will mark the ⁠bottom of the current ag equipment cycle.”

But ⁠commodity pricing softness “acts as a hard ceiling on major ​sales recovery,” Third Bridge’s Ryan Keeney said.

“Farm economics are still quite pressured ​and it remains to be seen if peers like AGCO ‌and CNH are going to push discounts and price, which could weaken the already soft environment before a recovery.”

Deere’s Small Ag & Turf segment — home to low horsepower tractors often used in dairy farming — posted a 12% ⁠rise in quarterly net sales as demand was aided by improving milk and beef prices.

Deere’s quarterly profit per share came in at $5.10, up from $4.75 per share ⁠a year earlier and ‌above analysts’ estimates of $4.70 per share, according to ⁠data compiled by LSEG. The company recorded a tariff ​refund ‌of $110 million during the period.

Total quarterly revenue rose 6% ​from a ⁠year earlier to $11 billion, also beating expectations of $10.73 billion.

The John Deere tractor manufacturer now expects 2026 net income of $4.75 billion to $5 billion, compared with its earlier projection of $4.5 billion to $5 billion. The midpoint of the new range is in line with Wall Street expectations.

(Reporting by Nandan Mandayam in Bengaluru; Editing ​by Jonathan Ananda)