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European corporate outlook keeps improving as recovery goes beyond energy profits

By Thomson Reuters Aug 19, 2026 | 6:50 AM

Aug 19 (Reuters) – A broadening corporate recovery beyond surging energy profits pushed Europe’s blue-chip earnings forecasts higher for a ninth straight week, as ​most reporting companies exceeded analyst expectations in ‌a historically strong season.

Companies in the STOXX 600 index are now expected to report aggregate earnings growth of 24.1%, up from last week’s 23.4% estimate, LSEG I/B/E/S data showed ‌on ​Wednesday, with 59.9% of the ⁠282 firms that have ⁠already reported topping the estimates.

While energy companies are still forecast to lead the index with a 138.6% profit jump, as the Iran war continues to ​disrupt the international crude market, corporate recovery has expanded into cyclical sectors like basic materials ⁠and industrials.

Those two segments have ⁠become the market’s secondary growth engines, with ​industrial earnings expected to climb 18.1% following forecast-beating results ​from manufacturers such as FLSmidth and Geberit.

Excluding energy, ‌STOXX 600 profits are expected to grow 13.1%. Overall revenue expectations remain more modest, with sales projected to increase 11.2% year-on-year, dipping from last week’s ⁠11.4% estimate.

Despite the earnings recovery, geopolitical uncertainty continues to weigh on the STOXX 600 index, which slipped to a ⁠two-week low ‌on Tuesday amid rising bond yields and ⁠inflation fears.

“Markets are focused on whether ​Europe ‌can replenish its gas storage at reasonable ​prices ahead ⁠of winter, with current inventory levels and costs remaining a key source of uncertainty,” KBRA macro strategist Gordon Kerr said.

(Reporting by Rafal Nowak in GdanskAdditional reporting by Tharuniyaa Lakshmi and Utkarsh Hathi in BengaluruEditing ​by Milla Nissi-Prussak)