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China forecasts strongest El Nino event as sea temperatures rise

By Thomson Reuters Aug 18, 2026 | 12:46 AM

BEIJING, Aug 18 (Reuters) – China’s National Climate Centre has forecast the formation of a super El Nino that could be ​the strongest ever recorded, state broadcaster ‌CCTV said on Tuesday.

Here are some details of the forecast:

• Sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean are expected to rise steadily ‌and ​peak around November to ⁠December, forming potentially the ⁠strongest El Nino in history, CCTV reported citing the climate centre.

• Since the start of the summer, China has already seen the effects ​of an El Nino, including torrential rain in various regions.

• The rain belts ⁠have sometimes overlapped, compounding disasters.

• ⁠Typhoons have been strong and ​active, marked by prolonged wind and rainfall.

• Last ​week, the strongest typhoon to hit China ‌this year, Typhoon Dolphin unleashed extreme rain across the country’s eastern, central and northern regions, far from the coast where it made ⁠landfall following a two-week journey across the Pacific Ocean.

• The government said natural disasters in July had ⁠left 318 ‌dead or missing, and incurred $8.5 billion ⁠in direct economic losses.

• In July, ​the ‌United Nations weather agency raised ​its forecast ⁠for the rapid emergence of a strong El Nino in the coming months, warning the phenomenon is likely to drive global temperatures higher.

(Reporting by Liz Lee and Beijing newsroom; Editing by ​Kate Mayberry)