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Lula’s lead over Bolsonaro narrows ahead of Brazil election, poll shows

By Thomson Reuters Aug 14, 2026 | 4:27 PM

SAO PAULO, Aug 14 (Reuters) – Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva continues to lead Senator ​Flavio Bolsonaro, although the right-wing ‌challenger has narrowed the gap with the leftist incumbent ahead of October’s election, a Quaest poll showed on Friday.

• In ‌a ​simulated second-round runoff, ⁠Lula would receive ⁠43% support compared with 40% for Bolsonaro.

• An August 5 Quaest poll had Lula leading Bolsonaro by ​44% to 39%.

• The most recent runoff figures also represent a ⁠virtual tie, as ⁠the poll has a margin ​of error of two percentage points.

• ​In a first-round scenario, Lula would ‌lead with 38% of the votes, followed by Bolsonaro (31%), Renan Santos (4%), Ronaldo Caiado (4%) and Romeu Zema (2%).

• Senator ⁠Bolsonaro is the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro.

• If no candidate wins ⁠more ‌than 50% of valid ⁠votes in the first round, ​the ‌two frontrunners advance to a ​runoff.

• ⁠Quaest surveyed 2,004 people between August 10-13. The poll was commissioned by local media outlet Globo.

(Reporting by Fernando Cardoso; Editing by Mark Porter and ​Brendan O’Boyle)