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Gold to reach $5,000 in first half of 2027, UBS says

By Thomson Reuters Aug 7, 2026 | 3:59 AM

Aug 7 (Reuters) – UBS said in a note on Friday that it expects gold prices to ​climb to $5,000 per ounce ‌in the first half of 2027, while cautioning that near-term risks remain.

• Spot gold was trading around $4,295 per ounce ‌but ​prices have fallen 23% ⁠from a record ⁠high of $5,594.82 in late January. [GOL/]

• Prices came under pressure as the conflict in the Middle East ​fuelled inflation concerns and bolstered expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve ⁠would keep interest ⁠rates higher for longer, ​which typically reduces bullion’s appeal to ​investors.

• The Fed left the benchmark ‌interest rate in the 3.50% to 3.75% range last week.

• UBS expects inflation to moderate gradually, allowing ⁠the U.S. central bank to keep interest rates on hold this year before ⁠resuming ‌its easing cycle in 2027.

• “Periods ⁠of weakness toward $4,000/oz or ​below ‌may ultimately prove to ​be opportunities ⁠to build strategic exposure,” said UBS Chief Investment Officer Mark Haefele.

(Reporting by Ashitha Shivaprasad and Sukanya Mitra in BengaluruEditing by Clarence Fernandez and ​David Goodman)