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ADM lifts 2026 profit forecast on strong margins, favorable biofuels outlook

By Thomson Reuters Aug 4, 2026 | 5:23 AM

By Karl Plume and Sumit Saha

Aug 4 (Reuters) – U.S. agribusiness Archer-Daniels-Midland raised its 2026 profit outlook on Tuesday as it beat Wall Street estimates for second-quarter earnings on strong crop ​processing margins and favorable U.S. biofuels policies.

Soaring energy prices ‌triggered by the Iran war swelled margins for producing corn-based ethanol fuel and crushing soybeans for use in crop-based diesel. Higher U.S. biofuel blending mandates after a lengthy delay also lifted uncertainty that had weighed on earnings.

Higher margins mark a ‌turnaround ​for ADM, and peers such as Bunge Global ⁠and Cargill, after a ⁠global grains glut and trade disruptions had depressed earnings for the agribusinesses in recent quarters.

Chicago-based ADM raised 2026 adjusted earnings to between $5.15 and $5.60 per share, compared with a prior forecast of $4.15 and $4.70 per ​share, citing improvement in its crushing and ethanol businesses and as it expects a “constructive margin environment” to continue.

ADM’s shares rose 3.8% ⁠in premarket trading.

Crop processing volumes swelled as ⁠a rally in grain prices since the start of ​the Iran war triggered fresh farmer selling of corn and soybeans, which ​were stored from last year’s crop during a prolonged ‌period of low prices.

Operating profit in ADM’s ag services and oilseeds unit, its largest business segment, jumped 129% from the same quarter a year earlier as margins expanded after the U.S. government ordered refiners earlier ⁠this year to blend a record amount of biofuels into their gasoline and diesel this year and next.

Strong crop grain export demand offered further support ⁠to the global ‌grains merchant.

The company’s carbohydrate solutions segment, which includes ⁠ADM’s ethanol and sweeteners businesses, notched a 22% gain ​year ‌over year, while its high-margin nutrition unit reported ​a 51% ⁠rise in operating profit from a year earlier.

The company posted an adjusted profit of $1.84 per share for the three months ended June 30, topping analysts’ average estimate of $1.44, according to data compiled by LSEG.

(Reporting by Karl Plume in Chicago and Sumit Saha in Bengaluru; Editing by Shinjini Ganguli ​and Susan Fenton)