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Canadian economy grew by a greater-than-expected 0.3% in May

By Thomson Reuters Jul 31, 2026 | 7:38 AM

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OTTAWA, July 31 (Reuters) – Canada’s economy grew by a greater-than-expected 0.3% in May, pushed up ​in part by strength in the ‌mining, quarrying and oil and gas sector, official data indicated on Friday.

Economists polled by Reuters had expected the economy to expand by 0.2% in May. It ‌revised ​April’s growth up to ⁠0.6% from 0.5%, the ⁠highest month-on-month gain since July 2025.

Statistics Canada said goods-producing industries expanded 0.6% while services-producing industries posted a 0.2% gain.

The mining, quarrying, and ​oil and gas extraction sector expanded 1.0% in May. The oil and gas ⁠extraction subsector rose 0.7% in ⁠May, due to higher oil ​sands extraction.

In a flash estimate, Statscan said June ​GDP looked to have increased by 0.2%.

This ‌indicates annualized second quarter growth of 3.4%, significantly higher than the Bank of Canada’s July 15 forecast of 2.5%, and the highest ⁠annualized quarterly increase since the 4.3% seen in the first three months of 2023.

The central bank left ⁠its benchmark ‌overnight rate unchanged at 2.25% on ⁠July 15 and said growth would ​strengthen ‌in the second half of ​the year ⁠as inflation pressures eased and firms continued to adapt to U.S. tariffs.

Money markets are pricing in a hold on rates for the rest of the year.

(Reporting by David Ljunggren, editing by ​Dale Smith)