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Molina falls on concerns around Obamacare, Medicaid businesses

By Thomson Reuters Jul 23, 2026 | 5:12 AM

By Christy Santhosh

July 23 (Reuters) – Shares of health insurer Molina Healthcare fell 9% in premarket trading on Thursday as concerns about the company’s Obamacare and Medicaid ​businesses weighed on its second-quarter results.

The company late ‌on Wednesday posted quarterly profit and revenue that beat Wall Street estimates, helped by stronger-than-expected performance in its Medicare business.

However, investors focused on the modest size of the forecast increase and ongoing pressures in ‌its ​Marketplace business after Molina said a ⁠larger share of enrollees ⁠required costlier medical care than it had anticipated.

Americans are dropping off the plans — established under former President Barack Obama’s Affordable Care Act — this year as many struggle to ​make payments due to the end of extra subsidies created during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Analysts also raised concerns about ⁠the future of the company’s Medicaid ⁠business, citing tight state budgets, new work requirements ​for eligibility, and twice-yearly eligibility checks, rather than annually, that ​could increase drop-off rates.

Baird analyst Michael Ha said Medicaid ‌membership continues to lag expectation and incremental membership attrition could become a larger challenge in the second half of 2026 and into 2027.

“We believe the primary focus of the ⁠Molina investment debate continues to be 2027 earnings power,” Ha said.

Molina primarily sells Medicaid plans to low-income Americans and also offers ⁠coverage under Obamacare.

The ‌health insurer now expects annual adjusted earnings ⁠to be at least $5.25 per share, from ​at least $5.00 ‌previously.

“We believe the first-half outperformance and management’s ​initial cadence ⁠would indicate an increase to guidance of at least $0.50 versus the $0.25 guidance increase,” said J.P.Morgan analysts.

The company is set to hold its earnings conference call with analysts and investors at 8 a.m. ET Thursday.

(Reporting by Christy Santhosh in Bengaluru; Editing ​by Joyjeet Das)