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Morning Bid: Big Blue’s bad day raises the bar for ASML

By Thomson Reuters Jul 14, 2026 | 11:33 PM

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom Westbrook

Europe’s most valuable company and the top supplier of chip-making equipment reports on Wednesday with the AI rally ​getting some speed wobbles.

ASML is the only maker of EUV lithography ‌systems, the huge $300 million machines needed to produce the tiny circuitry on cutting-edge chips.

It is set to report an 8.8% rise in second-quarter net profit at 2.61 billion euros ($2.99 billion) on a 14% increase in revenue at 8.8 billion euros, LSEG estimates showed. ‌Analysts are ​also looking for an increase to the company’s ⁠full-year revenue forecast currently ⁠at 36 billion to 40 billion euros.

The market mood is such that only a big beat will do, with IBM the latest illustration of how AI is upending business models in software and computing and how ​fickle markets are turning about picking the boom’s winners and losers.

IBM SHEDS A QUARTER OF ITS VALUE

“Big Blue” said it had failed to ⁠keep pace with the shift in corporate spending ⁠from software to data-centre infrastructure.

A projected revenue rise of ​just 1% put its adjusted earnings-per-share forecast at $2.93 compared with market expectations of $3.02. ​The result sent IBM’s shares down 25%.

South Korea’s volatile KOSPI shot ‌up 8% in Asia, with a surprise slowdown in U.S. inflation cooling bets on interest rate hikes and giving investors a reason to be cheerful.

Brent crude futures kept over $85 a barrel, though stayed short of fresh peaks as ⁠investors wait to see how long the Strait of Hormuz will again be blocked to oil tankers.

Data showed China’s economic growth slowed to 4.3% in the ⁠first half, short of ‌economists’ expectations. Still, there was little reaction, since the ⁠theme of export strength and domestic weakness are well ​worn and ‌because investors hope the slowdown will prompt a ​bit of a ⁠fiscal impulse.

The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hold interest rates steady later on Wednesday.

Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:

• Earnings: ASML, BNY, Blackrock, Johnson & Johnson, Morgan Stanley, United Airlines

• Economics: Eurozone industrial production, U.S. PPI

• Interest rates: Bank of Canada seen holding rates

($1 = 0.8744 euros)

(By Tom Westbrook; Editing ​by Christopher Cushing)