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Italy industrial output ends three-month positive streak with May fall

By Thomson Reuters Jul 10, 2026 | 3:33 AM

ROME, July 10 (Reuters) – Italian industrial output fell by more than expected in May, with a 0.3% month-on-month drop, official ​data showed on Friday, in a ‌renewed sign of weakness for manufacturing in the euro zone’s third-largest economy.

A Reuters survey of nine analysts had pointed to a 0.2% month-on-month decline in May, ‌after ​three consecutive increases.

In the March-to-May ⁠period, however, output was ⁠up 0.9% compared to the previous three months, national statistics agency ISTAT said.

ISTAT slightly revised down April’s month-on-month data to show ​a 0.4% rise, from an originally reported 0.5% increase.

On a work day-adjusted year-on-year basis, ⁠industrial output rose 1.1% in ⁠May versus a forecast of ​a 1.3% increase. It followed a 1.1% rise ​in April, downwardly revised from an originally reported ‌1.3% increase.

Looking ahead, the outlook is clouded by continuing turmoil in the Middle East.

The government in April cut its economic growth outlook ⁠to 0.6% for this year and next, reflecting the increase in energy costs and geopolitical tensions, from ⁠previous targets ‌of 0.7% and 0.8% respectively.

In ⁠the first quarter of 2026 Italian ​gross ‌domestic product increased by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, ​the same ⁠growth rate as in the fourth quarter of last year.

In 2025 Italy grew by 0.5%, a third straight year of sub-1% growth.

(Reporting by Antonella Cinelli, graphic by Stefano Bernabei, editing by ​Alvise Armellini)