×

Wall Street giants bar staff from finance and politics prediction markets, source says

By Thomson Reuters Jul 9, 2026 | 2:57 PM

July 9 (Reuters) – Wall Street giants Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have barred employees from trading on prediction-market ​contracts linked to financial markets ‌and political events, a source familiar with the matter said on Thursday.

A memo was issued some time back for Goldman, in which the ‌policy ​prohibits staff from participating ⁠in event-based contracts that ⁠could create real or perceived conflicts of interest with the bank, its clients or the broader financial industry.

Bloomberg News, ​which first reported the policy, said repeated violations could result in disciplinary ⁠action, including termination, and ⁠that employees may be required ​to forfeit gains from prohibited trades.

The restrictions ​do not apply to prediction-market contracts ‌related to sports and entertainment, the source said.

For Morgan Stanley, the person familiar with the matter said the bank’s code ⁠of conduct for employees covers trading and investing topics, including prediction markets.

The person declined to ⁠specify the ‌policies related to each market, ⁠saying the details are not ​public.

Prediction-market ‌platforms such as Kalshi and ​Polymarket have ⁠grown rapidly, raising concerns about regulatory oversight ahead of U.S. midterm elections.

(Reporting by Pragyan Kalita in Bengaluru, Saeed Azhar and Tatiana Bautzer in New York; Editing by ​Maju Samuel)