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Strong El Nino event could raise extreme weather risks in China, state media says

By Thomson Reuters Jul 8, 2026 | 10:38 AM

BEIJING, July 8 (Reuters) – A strong to super-strong eastern Pacific-type El Nino event is expected to form this summer and autumn, raising ​risks for extreme weather such as flooding ‌and heatwaves across China this year and the next, state news agency Xinhua reported on Wednesday, citing forecasts by the National Climate Centre.

• Sea-surface temperatures in the equatorial ‌central ​and eastern Pacific have been ⁠rising since the beginning ⁠of June, with the index in key regions reaching 1.60 degrees Celsius, up 0.64C from May, Xinhua said, adding that the National Climate Centre ​expected further sea temperature rises.

• Under the influence of various climate events including the El ⁠Nino, extreme weather such as ⁠heavy rain, flooding, drought, heatwaves and ​typhoons could occur in July and August, the National ​Climate Centre said.

• When the El Nino ‌reaches mature stage in autumn and winter, southern China could see more precipitation, while temperatures across most of the country are expected to run higher.

• ⁠As El Nino tapers off in the spring and summer of next year, heavy rainfall is expected, raising ⁠risks for ‌flooding across several river basins including ⁠the Yangtze River Basin. Summer heatwaves will ​likely ‌be stronger and cover wider areas.

• ​Increased rainfall ⁠could affect major grain-producing regions such as northeast and north China, while the northwestern part of the country should prepare for drought risks, the report said.

(Reporting by Yukun Zhang and Ryan Woo; Editing by ​Nia Williams)