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Citigroup lifts S&P 500 year-end target to 8,100 on earnings strength, AI ‘supercycle’

By Thomson Reuters Jun 8, 2026 | 4:19 AM

By Kanchana Chakravarty

June 8 (Reuters) – Citigroup became the latest Wall Street brokerage to raise its 2026-end target for the S&P 500 index beyond the 8,000 ​mark, citing resilience in corporate earnings and AI-driven ‌growth.

The widely tracked benchmark index is up nearly 8% so far this year, but fell sharply on Friday following stronger-than-expected nonfarm payrolls data.

The brokerage lifted its index target to 8,100 from 7,700, ‌implying ​an upside of roughly 10% from ⁠the index’s last close.

The ⁠firm also raised its S&P 500 earnings-per-share forecast to $350 for 2026, up from $320 set in December 2025, and introduced a $400 preliminary target for 2027.

Citigroup joins a wave ​of bullish calls from brokerages that expect AI momentum and strong corporate earnings to offset the inflationary ⁠pressures and supply risks from the ⁠Middle East conflict in the short term.

“We ​have high confidence in continued earnings beats through year-end,” Citigroup ​said in a note dated June 5.

However, Citi ‌warned that the “persistence of AI-driven growth beyond 2027 remains a key question.”

“Our view is that this is not a traditional cycle and looks more like a one-time capex ⁠supercycle… thus increasing the burden on earnings growth and related expectation to drive index price action.”

Citi strategists said that while AI-related ⁠ecosystems are expected ‌to expand beyond technology firms, attention ⁠will eventually shift to whether U.S. companies ​can deliver ‌on the productivity gains promised by AI, ​beyond 2027.

“Beyond ⁠that (2027)…we need to acknowledge some degree of deceleration (if not decline) in spending will eventually set up for an equity market hangover effect. But that is not currently in the line of sight.”

(Reporting by Kanchana Chakravarty in Bengaluru; Editing ​by Harikrishnan Nair)