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World Bank forecasts Vietnam 2026 economic growth to slow to 6.8%

By Thomson Reuters May 14, 2026 | 11:03 PM

HANOI, May 15 (Reuters) – Vietnam’s economic growth is expected to slow to 6.8% this year from an expansion ​of 8% last year, the World ‌Bank said on Friday.

The country’s outlook remains solid but risks remain elevated in the near term, the bank said in a statement.

• “Softer global ‌conditions ​are making Vietnam’s external ⁠environment more challenging, ⁠with the oil shock adding to the downside risks,” WB director for Vietnam, Mariam J. Sherman, said.

• Vietnam targets annual ​GDP growth of at least 10% for this year and the rest ⁠of the decade.

• The ⁠country is facing inflationary pressures ​triggered by the Iran war, leaving April inflation ​higher than the government’s target of ‌4.5%.

• The WB forecasts Vietnam’s 2026 inflation at 4.2%.

• Vietnam’s banking sector has come under funding strains with credit growth ⁠outpacing deposit mobilisation, the WB said.

• A prolonged Middle East conflict could depress Vietnam’s exports and ⁠exacerbate ‌banking sector and currency pressures ⁠amid high corporate leverage and ​limited ‌foreign exchange reserve cover, it said.

• ​The ⁠WB urges Vietnam to shift its growth model from factor accumulation and bank-led finance to productivity-driven growth, deeper capital markets and higher-quality FDI.

(Reporting by Khanh Vu; Editing by ​David Stanway)