×

Modi’s BJP set for surprise gains in India state elections, exit polls show

By Thomson Reuters Apr 29, 2026 | 10:08 AM

April 29 (Reuters) – – Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party and its allies were projected to win two of four state elections, exit polls showed on ​Wednesday, projecting a surprise gain that would strengthen ‌the party’s dominance across the country.     Modi’s BJP has won most state elections since a shocking performance in the 2024 general election when it lost its outright majority and had to rely on alliance partners to ‌form ​a government.

• The eastern states of ⁠Assam and West Bengal, ⁠the southern states of Kerala and Tamil Nadu, along with the federally administered territory of Puducherry, are all electing new governments.

• Voting ended on Wednesday. Ballots will be counted ​on May 4 and results announced the same day.

• A BJP‑led alliance has ruled Assam for the last 10 ⁠years. It is projected to easily ⁠win a majority and return to power for ​a third straight term.

• In West Bengal, where BJP fought a ​pitched battle against the ruling Trinamool Congress party, most ‌pollsters predicted an upset win for BJP.

• Top BJP leaders, including Modi, campaigned for weeks in West Bengal, focusing on who they say are illegal immigrants from neighbouring Bangladesh and ⁠the weak economy as key issues.

• In Tamil Nadu, a major industrial hub for electronics and automobiles, the ruling regional DMK party’s ⁠alliance was projected ‌to win a second straight term.

• In Kerala, ⁠the only state ruled by communists, the ​Communist Party ‌of India (Marxist) and its allies are likely ​to lose ⁠to an opposition alliance led by the Congress party in a tight race, exit polls showed.

• Exit polls in India have a mixed record and can be inaccurate, given the country’s vast and diverse electorate.

(Writing by Shilpa Jamkhandikar; Editing by YP Rajesh ​and Tomasz Janowski)