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India’s inflation risks rise on supply-side disruptions, central bank says

By Thomson Reuters Apr 23, 2026 | 7:49 AM

By Gopika Gopakumar

MUMBAI, April 23 (Reuters) – India’s inflation risks have increased, driven ​by supply-side disruptions ‌including the Iran war and weather-related uncertainties, the central bank said in its monthly economic ‌report ​released on ⁠Thursday.

Here are the ⁠details:

• If the West Asia conflict persists and supply chains are not restored ​early, that may create challenges to the ⁠domestic economy

• ⁠Strong macro fundamentals should ​help the economy withstand ​shocks

• Inflation may have been ‌contained within the tolerance band, but upside risks have increased, driven by ⁠supply-side disruptions including weather-related uncertainties

• Possible second-round effects with the supply ⁠shock ‌transforming itself into ⁠demand shock warrantcareful ​and ‌continuous assessment

• India’s foreign ​exchange reserves ⁠remain comfortable, providing cover for goods imports of around 11 months

(Reporting by Gopika Gopakumar; Editing by ​Mrigank Dhaniwala)