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Michigan heavy favorite to complete dominant title run vs. UConn

By Thomson Reuters Apr 5, 2026 | 11:52 AM

UConn has won two of the past three national championships but will enter Monday night’s title game against Michigan as a heavy underdog.

That’s because the top-seeded Wolverines have blitzed through their first five games of the NCAA Tournament, winning by an average of 21.6 points. That ​includes an 18-point dismantling of fellow No. 1 seed Arizona on Saturday night in a game ‌that wasn’t even as close as the final score.

UConn, the No. 2 seed in the East, followed a dramatic upset of No. 1 Duke in the Elite Eight with a systematic breakdown of No. 3 seed Illinois. Still, the Huskies will enter Monday night as the underdog for their third consecutive game.

Michigan was a consensus 7.0-point favorite across major sportsbooks on Sunday, with the Wolverines ‌seeking to ​become the first Big Ten team to win the national title since ⁠the 1999-2000 season.

The line was sitting ⁠at 6.5 points at both BetMGM and DraftKings, where the line opened at 7.5. The total points line at 144.5 at both books. At DraftKings, the shortest odds on the winning margin was Michigan to win by 3-6 points at +425, followed by a Wolverines victory by 10-13 points at +450. UConn’s shortest odds ​for a victory were 3-6 points at +800.

The Wolverines are the 10th Big Ten team to reach the final in a season that began this century, but the most recent team to cut down the nets remains ⁠Michigan State in 1999-2000. Michigan looking to complete a turnaround that ⁠saw the program stumble to an 8-24 finish just two years ago.

UConn is ​in the final for the third time in four years, but will go up against a Michigan team that already ​is the first in history to score at least 90 points five times in a ‌single NCAA Tournament.

“We know it’s just one more, so we’re going to try to get it,” Michigan’s Aday Mara said after Saturday’s beat down of Arizona.

The Huskies certainly have recent history on their site, and coach Dan Hurley will enter Monday night with a 350-179 career coaching record along with that pair of national titles. No ⁠program has won three in a four-year span since the 1972-75 UCLA Bruins.

UConn has 18 wins this season in which it has held its opponent under 40 percent shooting, and the Huskies held Illinois to 33.9% shooting from three-point ⁠range on Saturdya.

“We’re a group of ‌fighters. It’s not appealing to everyone,” Hurley said. “I’m sure there’s some people in ⁠here that it’s off-putting for. But we are a group of fighters. We ​are incredibly ‌tough. We’ve got incredible will. We go into these games, we’re ready for ​battle.

“Again, for us ⁠it’s not a game that we’re just kind of running around in uniforms throwing the ball around, hoping it goes in. That’s not what we’re doing out there. We’re fighting. It’s a life-and-death struggle for us to get to Monday night for the opportunity to win a championship, and then just to be able to prolong this season with each other and to make the people of Connecticut proud, to make the university proud and all the ​former great players.”

–Field Level Media