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Merck braces for Keytruda patent loss with $6.7 billion Terns bet

By Thomson Reuters Mar 25, 2026 | 5:54 AM

March 25 (Reuters) – Merck said on Wednesday it would buy biotech Terns Pharma for $6.7 billion, as the drugmaker races to bolster its cancer pipeline ahead of the looming patent loss for blockbuster therapy Keytruda later this decade.

The deal ​is the latest effort by Merck to reduce reliance on the best-selling ‌drug, which generated more than $30 billion in 2025 and accounted for nearly half of its revenue.

Since 2021, the company has expanded its late-stage pipeline through internal R&D and acquisitions including the $11.5 billion purchase of Acceleron Pharma and a string of $10 billion deals such as Cidara Therapeutics and Verona Pharma last year.

Merck ‌has ​offered $53 per share for Terns, representing a premium of 6% ⁠to the stock’s last close. ⁠Terns’ shares rose 5.5% before the bell while Merck was up nearly 1%.

The deal, expected to close in the second quarter, will result in a charge of about $5.8 billion, or roughly $2.35 per share, which will be reflected in both quarterly and ​full-year results.

MULTI-BILLION-DOLLAR OPPORTUNITY

Merck gains control of Terns’ experimental drug, TERN-701, which is being tested to treat chronic myeloid leukemia (CML), a cancer that starts in the bone marrow and ⁠causes uncontrolled growth of leukemia cells.

In an early-stage ⁠study, TERN-701 showed a 75% major molecular response rate in previously ​treated leukemia patients, a result analysts signaled could position it as a potential successor to ​Novartis’ leukemia drug Scemblix.

RBC Capital Markets analyst Trung Huynh said if Terns delivers ‌on efficacy and durability, multi-billion-dollar peak sales are “realistic”, as CML represents a large, durable market with a $20 billion global opportunity.

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration granted the therapy orphan drug designation in 2024.

Terns is also looking to develop therapies for obesity and metabolic liver ⁠diseases like NASH.

Merck struck a $2 billion deal in 2024 for Hansoh Pharma’s experimental obesity drug, becoming a late contender in the race to offer a weight-loss pill. The drug is ⁠currently undergoing lab studies.

PATENT CLIFF ‌LOOMS

Merck faces intensifying pressure to diversify beyond Keytruda, as the treatment ⁠approaches U.S. loss of exclusivity in 2028.

Analysts including Scotiabank’s Louise ​Chen broadly ‌viewed the deal as strategically sound, helping broaden revenue streams.

Huynh ​said the ⁠deal is unlikely to face antitrust scrutiny from the U.S. Federal Trade Commission due to limited portfolio overlap.

He added that the transaction “sits within management’s sub-$15 billion M&A ‘sweet spot’ signaling continued pipeline activity ahead.”

Huynh, however, noted that the relatively modest 6% premium could translate into competing bids from other strategic buyers such as AbbVie or Bristol-Myers Squibb.

(Reporting by Siddhi Mahatole in Bengaluru; ​Editing by Sriraj Kalluvila)